By 2025, GPTs are proven to be able to infer scientific principles from linguistic data. | Manifold

By 2025, GPTs are proven to be able to infer scientific principles from linguistic data.

Basic

7

Ṁ109

Jan 1

37%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

A later version of this questions: https://manifold.markets/Mag/by-2024-gpts-are-proven-to-be-able

In the spirit of what Gary Marcus says here:

https://twitter.com/GaryMarcus/status/1640029885040132096?s=20

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Thoughts?

https://x.com/timothyduignan/status/1797960944175427629?s=46&t=7MQWoR0BbBi0qMI9dbdAwQ

Does this count? https://x.com/GillVerd/status/1764901418664882327?s=20

Probably should've checked this before betting, but the question says "by 2025" while the market resolves on January 1, 2024. Which of these better fits your intentions?

@Finn Apologies, should have been 2025 — I already have a version that ends 2024 https://manifold.markets/Mag/by-2024-gpts-are-proven-to-be-able

Related questions

Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-2 before 2030?

Will GPT, or AI systems that have GPT as their main component, become as reliably factual as Wikipedia, before 2026?

Will Meta release an open source language model that outperforms GPT-4 by the end of 2024

Will xAI develop a more capable LLM than GPT-5 by 2026

Will there be an LLM (as good as GPT-4) that was trained with 1/100th the energy consumed to train GPT-4, by 2026?

Will any speech model exceed chatGPT interest? (by 2025)

Which next-gen frontier LLMs will be released before GPT-5? (2025)

Will there be a language model called GPT-5, released by OpenAI, this decade?

Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-3 before 2030?

Related questions

Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-2 before 2030?

Will GPT, or AI systems that have GPT as their main component, become as reliably factual as Wikipedia, before 2026?

Will any speech model exceed chatGPT interest? (by 2025)

Will Meta release an open source language model that outperforms GPT-4 by the end of 2024

Which next-gen frontier LLMs will be released before GPT-5? (2025)

Will xAI develop a more capable LLM than GPT-5 by 2026

Will there be a language model called GPT-5, released by OpenAI, this decade?

Will there be an LLM (as good as GPT-4) that was trained with 1/100th the energy consumed to train GPT-4, by 2026?

Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-3 before 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules