[M5000 subsidy] Will finetuned GPT-3.5 solve any freshly-generated Sudoku puzzle? (2023)
Will Google Bard become better than GPT-4 at any point before September 2024?
Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-2 before 2030?
Will we train GPT-4 to generate resolution criteria better than the creator 50% of the time by the end of 2023?
Will there be a version of GPT4 with a context window of 100k tokens this year?
Will Google's Gemini outperform GPT-4 in the SuperGLUE benchmark test by December 2023?
Will there be a OpenAI LLM known as GPT-4.5? by 2033
2) We are going to start running out of data to train large language models.
Matt C. Wilson
Will GPT-4 be trained on more than 10T text tokens?
By 2024, GPTs are proven to be able to infer scientific principles from linguistic data.
Will any Google model exceed chatGPT interest? (by 2025)
Will GPT, or AI systems that have GPT as their main component, become as reliably factual as Wikipedia, before 2026?
There will be an open source LLM approximately as good or better than GPT4 before 2025
Will a model be trained using at least as much compute as GPT-3 using AMD GPUs before Jan 1 2026?
Will Gary Marcus tweet at least 10 examples of GPT-4 failure which won't be disproven/fixed within 24 hours? (in 2023)
Will an open-source LLM beat or match GPT-4 by the end of 2024?
Will GPT-5 be released incrementally as GPT4.x for different checkpoints from the training run?
Will any open-source model achieve GPT-4 level performance on MMLU through 2024?
Will inflection AI have a model that is 10X the size of original GPT-4 at the end of Q1, 2025?
Will xAI release an LLM with BIG-Bench score as good as GPT-4 before the end of 2024?