
By 2024, GPTs are proven to be able to infer scientific principles from linguistic data.
20
390Ṁ1761resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
In the spirit of what Gary Marcus says here:
https://twitter.com/GaryMarcus/status/1640029885040132096?s=20
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ127 | |
2 | Ṁ32 | |
3 | Ṁ22 | |
4 | Ṁ15 | |
5 | Ṁ11 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will GPT, or AI systems that have GPT as their main component, become as reliably factual as Wikipedia, before 2026?
49% chance
Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-2 before 2030?
31% chance
Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-4 before 2030?
11% chance
Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-3 before 2030?
13% chance
ChatGPT (Or LLMs really) have discovered regularities in language that humans are not aware of
83% chance
Will there be an LLM (as good as GPT-4) that was trained with 1/100th the energy consumed to train GPT-4, by 2026?
83% chance
Will there be evidence in 2025 that in April 2023, OpenAI had a GPT-4.5 or higher model?
15% chance
Will we have an open-source model that is equivalent GPT-4 by end of 2025?
82% chance
GPT-Zero: By 2030, will anyone develop an AI with a massive GPT-like knowledge base that it taught itself?
33% chance
Will it be possible to disentangle most of the features learned by a model comparable to GPT-4 this decade?
37% chance