This market resolves to my best estimate of Manifold pre-money valuation after the next round of funding. I'll relay in public information only. If some Manifold team member would like to help, we'll discuss in the comments. I won't bet.
Beware that Manifold team members could bet on this market with insider information.
If Manifold liquidates in some form of bankruptcy (current shareholders get close to nothing) but somehow the site continues to operate, this market resolves to 0. If Manifold is sold, this market resolves to the valuation of the sale. If by Dec 31st 2025 this market doesn't have a resolution, I'll solve to the 60 day average price.
It's said that Manifold last time raised at $22M valuation
I WON'T BET ON THIS MARKET.
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@PatrickDelaney never mind the double negative anymore; markets measuring Manifold in kilokilos of cash are breaking my brain even harder
@MattCWilson I wasn't aware Manifold would show as 33K. I has afraid it'd show as 33000000 what would be impossible to read
@MP Oh sure, I get it 😄 just find it kind of hilarious. Several of us were poking similar fun in that embedded market I linked 😄
@MattCWilson Whaaat? You mean you don't normalize all numbers to scientific notation in your head? Just give me a call at 5.555555E6 bro!