Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if a reputable polling or research organization (such as Pew Research, YouGov, Gallup, PwC, or equivalent) publishes a poll or study before the market's close date indicating that a majority of respondents believe artificial intelligence has changed (or will change) everyday life or the workplace more than the internet did.

If no such reputable external poll is available by the market close, this market will resolve based on a Manifold community poll conducted at the time of closure:

• The market will resolve YES if a majority (>50%) of respondents in the community poll vote that AI has changed everyday life more than the internet.

• The market will resolve NO if a majority vote "No", or if the poll results in a tie.

If the market creator fails to initiate a poll or resolve the market within 7 days of the close date, the market may resolve to the creator's honest discretion based on the prevailing consensus of technology experts and economists.

Background

The debate over whether artificial intelligence (AI) represents a more significant technological shift than the internet is a central topic among economists, technologists, and sociologists.

While the internet fundamentally reconfigured global communication, commerce, and information access, proponents of AI argue that cognitive automation will prove even more disruptive. A 2025 PwC survey showed that 75% of U.S. business leaders agree that AI agents will reshape the workplace more than the internet did. However, public opinion is often more divided; YouGov polling indicates that while the internet is overwhelmingly viewed as having a positive effect on daily life, the public remains far more skeptical of AI's ultimate societal benefits.