There is so much more to writing, maintaining and exercising scripts than just coming up with answers to functional issues. I don't think many would leap into it for the marginal added benefit over GUI apps. Specially as consumer electronics increasingly rely on mobile platforms

Given the current delta, people seem to be pretty gungho on the radical changes in the time period 2027-2033.

@ChrisGreene That said, I think that in reality, the other market is more optimistic than it should be. Scripting is going to always be beyond the level which most people are going to be bothered. If the AI can't figure out what you want, people aren't going to bother trying to teach it via scripting.

Does telling a phone/smart speaker to turn a smart bulb on at sunset and off five hours later and having that work count?

@Epsilon Probably not by itself. An individual could maybe do something like that and have it count, but the intent of the question (as I understand it; I'll try to stay as close to @tailcalled's original as I can) is to predict if people who cannot code themselves will be using generative AI to create and run code that would have required some creativity and skill in the past, for a wide variety of different tasks.

Coding is still a niche thing despite everyone having access to it via ChatGPT. I expect that need for such script is also anti-correlated with AI progressing (as coders will use AI to be much more productive and provide better plugins and apps)