Will AI continue to improve?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ972027
76%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will AI be better then it is right now by the end of the year?
AI is defined here as any computer program that is designed to mimic life. Under this definition a chess algorithm like stockfish would be AI, Siri would be AI and Boston Dynamics' Spot would be AI.
The definition is broad and this market resolves to my opinion around closing time.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will AI be better every human at proving Math theorems by the end of 2030?
51% chance
Will an AI be solely responsible for an AI breakthrough by the end of 2030?
75% chance
Will AI be Recursively Self Improving by mid 2026?
7% chance
Could AI research see a shift in focus soon?
81% chance
Will AI be capable of fast self improvement before physical AI robots are massively used for improving AI capabilities?
85% chance
If AI does not wipe us out by 2033, will there be continued progress in the AI sector?
79% chance
When will self-improving AI outperform human-developed AI?
2030
Before 2028, will there be a major self-improving AI policy*?
74% chance
Which AI future will we get?
Will advanced AI systems be found to have faked data on algorithm improvements for purposes of positive reinforcement by end of 2035?
53% chance