Will AiresAI achieve the SoTA model on benchmarks by the end of the year?
4
100Ṁ364Jan 1
13%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?
51% chance
Will OpenAI models achieve ≥90% on SimpleBench by the end of 2025?
14% chance
Will an AI system beat humans in the GAIA benchmark before the end of 2025?
15% chance
Will the SotA open-source AI model in July 2026 use Test-Time Training?
36% chance
Will any AI model score above 95% on GRAB by the end of 2025?
34% chance
Will any AI model score >80% on Epoch's Frontier Math Benchmark in 2025?
4% chance
Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?
51% chance
What will be true of the SOTA AI on the FrontierMath benchmark, before 2026?
Will an AI achieve >80% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?
41% chance
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?
34% chance