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Will a publicly known AI model achieve an 80% time horizon that is an 1 hour and 30 minutes by September 2026?
6
Ṁ150Ṁ292
Sep 1
82%
chance

This Question resolves YES if METR makes it known publicly that an AI model has an 80% time horizon of an hour and 30 minutes

It also resolves YES if it is above an hour and 30 minutes by September 2026

METR has updated their time horizon test suite to include more tasks I guess going forward it will follow the 1.1 standard

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