Will Reform win less than 50 seats at the next UK General election?
38
100Ṁ41k2029
25%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2025-01-01 (PST): - If Reform merges with the Tories, the market will be canceled. (AI summary of creator comment)
Update 2025-27-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications:
If the parties merge before the election, the market is N/A.
Forming a coalition does not affect the market resolution criteria.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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