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MANIFOLD
Will Reform win a majority of the seats in the 2026 Senedd election?
9
Ṁ100Ṁ990
resolved May 8
Resolved
NO

"Yes" if a majority of Senedd members / MSs are affiliated with The Reform Party after the next Senedd election.

"No" if less than a majority of MSs are affiliated with The Reform Party after the next Senedd election.

N/a if there is some crisis and no Senedd election occurs in 2026. N/a if the Senedd ceases to exist before the next Senedd election.

No rules lawyering about the name of the party, we know what we mean.

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