![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FLui%252Fbfe23b11570a.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
Basic
13
Ṁ1.1k2025
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2%
Leo Varadkar
52%
Mary Lou McDonald
21%
Micheál Martin
1.1%
Eamon Ryan
1.1%
Ivana Bacik
11%
Simon Harris
11%
The next Irish general election will be held by March 2025 to elect the 34th Dáil, the lower house of Ireland's parliament, the Oireachtas. It will elect TDs across Dáil constituencies of between 3 and 5 seats. The Dáil will then nominate a Taoiseach, who will nominally be appointed by the President of Ireland.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:
I’ll add the next Fine Gael leader here once they’re appointed. Related question:
https://manifold.markets/Lui/irish-politics-who-will-be-the-next?r=THVp
Related questions
Related questions
Who will form the next government in the Republic of Ireland? Potential election March 2025
Will an anti-immigration party or individual be represented in the next Irish Government? (next election is in 2025)
57% chance
Will Anthony Albanese be the Prime Minister of Australia at the end of 2025?
63% chance
Does Connor McGregor run for Prime Minister of Ireland any time before 2028?
35% chance
At the end of the next Irish elections, will the Irish and Northern Irish heads of government be from the same party?
60% chance
Who will win Ireland's next election?
Who will lead the Canadian Liberal Party at the end of 2025?
Who will be First Minister of Scotland on July 1st 2026?
Will Conor McGregor Announce a Run for Political Office in Ireland by the End of 2025?
30% chance
Will Robert Fico remain PM of Slovakia at EOY 2024?
74% chance