
Who will be the Taoiseach of Ireland on 30 April 2025?
23
Ṁ1kṀ12kresolved May 1
100%99.0%
Micheál Martin
0.1%
Leo Varadkar
0.5%
Mary Lou McDonald
0.0%
Eamon Ryan
0.0%
Ivana Bacik
0.2%
Simon Harris
0.2%Other
The next Irish general election will be held by March 2025 to elect the 34th Dáil, the lower house of Ireland's parliament, the Oireachtas. It will elect TDs across Dáil constituencies of between 3 and 5 seats. The Dáil will then nominate a Taoiseach, who will nominally be appointed by the President of Ireland.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ563 | |
| 2 | Ṁ440 | |
| 3 | Ṁ94 | |
| 4 | Ṁ66 | |
| 5 | Ṁ62 |
Sort by:
@Blomfilter This market is for Taoiseach (head of government).
If Conor McGregor runs for President that's a different role. I've made a separate market for that:
https://manifold.markets/Lui/who-will-be-elected-president-of-ir
I’ll add the next Fine Gael leader here once they’re appointed. Related question:
https://manifold.markets/Lui/irish-politics-who-will-be-the-next?r=THVp
People are also trading
Related questions
Which party will the first Taoiseach be from following the next Irish general election?
Who will be First Minister of Scotland on July 1st 2026?
Will Ireland be invaded by the UK before 2030 in the event of a Sinn Fein Taoiseach in next elections
3% chance
Who will win the Sinn Fein nomination for the 2026 Dublin Central by-election?
If this person is elected Deputy Leader of Labour in 2025, will the Prime Minister on January 1st 2030 be Labour?
Does Conor McGregor run for Prime Minister of Ireland any time before 2028?
33% chance
Prime Minister of Australia at the end of 2027
Who will win the 2026 Dublin Central by-election?