Does Connor McGregor run for Prime Minister of Ireland any time before 2028?
9
130Ṁ8422028
28%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The meme becomes reality
easier criteria for resolution (any political position):
https://manifold.markets/Blomfilter/does-connor-mcgregor-take-up-any-po
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
[Metaculus] Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026?
1% chance
Who will be the Taoiseach of Ireland on 30 April 2025?
Will Conor McGregor be on the ballot in the 2025 Ireland presidential election?
5% chance
Does Connor McGregor take up any political position in a party before 2028?
74% chance
Will Conor McGregor win the 2025 Ireland presidential election?
1% chance
Will Conor McGregor get 10% or more of the vote in the 2025 Ireland presidential election?
18% chance
Will Conor McGregor get 30% or more of the vote in the 2025 Ireland presidential election?
15% chance
Will Conor McGregor get 5% or more of the vote in the 2025 Ireland presidential election?
19% chance
Will Joe Rogan run for elected government office this decade?
9% chance
Who will be elected President of Ireland in the next Irish presidential election?
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
[Metaculus] Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026?
1% chance
Who will be the Taoiseach of Ireland on 30 April 2025?
Will Conor McGregor be on the ballot in the 2025 Ireland presidential election?
5% chance
Does Connor McGregor take up any political position in a party before 2028?
74% chance
Will Conor McGregor win the 2025 Ireland presidential election?
1% chance
Will Conor McGregor get 10% or more of the vote in the 2025 Ireland presidential election?
18% chance
Will Conor McGregor get 30% or more of the vote in the 2025 Ireland presidential election?
15% chance
Will Conor McGregor get 5% or more of the vote in the 2025 Ireland presidential election?
19% chance
Will Joe Rogan run for elected government office this decade?
9% chance
Who will be elected President of Ireland in the next Irish presidential election?