Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on who becomes the Democratic Party's nominee for the 2028 presidential election, as determined by: Securing enough delegates to win the nomination at the Democratic National Convention, OR Being declared the presumptive nominee after all other candidates have dropped out or suspended their campaigns The market will resolve N/A if: The Democratic Party dissolves or ceases to exist before 2028 The 2028 presidential election is cancelled or does not take place No candidate formally accepts the Democratic nomination

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Gavin Newsom, followed by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff are most likely. See the market for live updates (17 traders, as of Apr 10, 2026).

Democratic Nominee for 2028 Presidential Election

Ṁ275Ṁ4.3k

2028

26%

Gavin Newsom

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Jon Ossoff

Pete Buttigieg

Josh Shapiro

Mark Kelly

Andy Beshear

JB Pritzker

Kamala Harris

Cory Booker

Gretchen Whitmer

Jacob Frey

Wes Moore

Stephen A. Smith

1.6%

Raphael Warnock

1.5%

Elizabeth Warren

1.1%

Noam Chomsky

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve based on who becomes the Democratic Party's nominee for the 2028 presidential election, as determined by:

Securing enough delegates to win the nomination at the Democratic National Convention, OR
Being declared the presumptive nominee after all other candidates have dropped out or suspended their campaigns

The market will resolve N/A if: