If Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win? | Manifold

If Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win?

16

Ṁ150Ṁ783

2027

3%

>10%

5%

5-10%

6%

2-5%

7%

1-2%

10%

0.5-1%

70%

0-0.5%

If the party does not end up being created, this market will resolve n/a.

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Related questions

Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026?

Elon Musk significantly backs a third party in Midterms?

Will Elon Musk vote for the Republican party in 2028?

Musk party member elected to US congress in 2026?

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What will be true of Elon Musk’s “America Party” by the end of 2026?

Will Elon Musk control 25%+ of the voting control of Tesla by 2028?

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Will any GOP member of the US Congress lose their 2026 election to a candidate endorsed by Elon Musk?

Will Elon Musk successfully primary any incumbent Democrats in the next election?