If Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win?
10
150Ṁ5952027
1.1%
>10%
8%
5-10%
7%
2-5%
11%
1-2%
13%
0.5-1%
60%
0-0.5%
If the party does not end up being created, this market will resolve n/a.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Elon musk form a new political party
43% chance
Will Elon Musk create a political party in 2025?
42% chance
When will Elon Musk create a political party?
Will Elon Musk be as a candidate for the President of United States in any state in the 2028 election?
5% chance
Will Elon Musk vote for the Republican party in 2028?
61% chance
What will be true of Elon Musk’s “America Party” by the end of 2026?
Will Elon Musk fund any democratic party member in 2025?
20% chance
Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026?
26% chance
Will Elon Musk's political orientation change by the end of 2025?
41% chance
Musk party member elected to US congress in 2026?
4% chance