If Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win?
4
150Ṁ1722027
3%
>10%
20%
5-10%
16%
2-5%
21%
1-2%
32%
0.5-1%
9%
0-0.5%
If the party does not end up being created, this market will resolve n/a.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Elon musk form a new political party
61% chance
Will Elon Musk create a political party in 2025?
61% chance
Will Elon Musk vote for the Republican party in 2028?
61% chance
Elon Musk significantly backs a third party in Midterms?
59% chance
When will Elon Musk create a political party?
Will Elon Musk's political orientation change by the end of 2025?
58% chance
Will Elon Musk fund any democratic party member in 2025?
20% chance
What will be true of Elon Musk’s “America Party” by the end of 2026?
Elon Musk creates political party before Trump presidency ends?
62% chance
Elon Musk announces support for a Democratic candidate before August 1, 2025
4% chance