What will be true of Elon Musk’s “America Party” by the end of 2026?

750Ṁ1721

2026

90%

has had a 6 month period with no public mention from Musk

66%

has an official twitter feed

50%

has had a 1 year period with no public mention from Musk

48%

endorses a republican candidate (primary or general)

26%

endorses a democrat candidate (primary or general)

25%

runs a candidate in a state or local election

24%

registered with the FEC

23%

runs a candidate in a federal election

23%

takes donations

23%

is an organization with verified full time employees

I do not bet on my own markets.

Resolves according to official or primary documents where possible. If official documents are not applicable, resolves according to media reporting.

Note: this is by that date, options will resolve sooner when they are verified to have happened.

AI garbage to disregard below this line:

Update 2025-12-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): January 7th, 2025 has been tentatively set as a possible end date for tracking mentions of the "America Party" by Elon Musk (based on 6 months after his last known mention on July 7th, 2024), unless he mentions it again or a later mention is found.

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@traders does anyone with a vested interest here have an example we can agree on on the last time Musk mentioned this so I can start a 6 month timer? Also if there are any of these which can be resolved early feel free to comment on it.