I do not bet on my own markets. Resolves according to official or primary documents where possible. If official documents are not applicable, resolves according to media reporting. Note: this is by that date, options will resolve sooner when they are verified to have happened. AI garbage to disregard below this line: Update 2025-12-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): January 7th, 2025 has been tentatively set as a possible end date for tracking mentions of the "America Party" by Elon Musk (based on 6 months after his last known mention on July 7th, 2024), unless he mentions it again or a later mention is found.

What will be true of Elon Musk’s “America Party” by the end of 2026?

MANIFOLD

What will be true of Elon Musk’s “America Party” by the end of 2026?

Ṁ750Ṁ3.4k

Dec 31

99%

has had a 6 month period with no public mention from Musk

99%

has had a 1 year period with no public mention from Musk

19%

has an official twitter feed

11%

takes donations

is an organization with verified full time employees

runs a candidate in a federal election

registered with the FEC

runs a candidate in a state or local election

endorses a republican candidate (primary or general)

endorses a democrat candidate (primary or general)

I do not bet on my own markets.

Resolves according to official or primary documents where possible. If official documents are not applicable, resolves according to media reporting.

Note: this is by that date, options will resolve sooner when they are verified to have happened.

AI garbage to disregard below this line:

Update 2025-12-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): January 7th, 2025 has been tentatively set as a possible end date for tracking mentions of the "America Party" by Elon Musk (based on 6 months after his last known mention on July 7th, 2024), unless he mentions it again or a later mention is found.

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@traders does anyone with a vested interest here have an example we can agree on on the last time Musk mentioned this so I can start a 6 month timer? Also if there are any of these which can be resolved early feel free to comment on it.

filled a Ṁ10 YES at 97% order

@KyleY I can't find any public mention past this tweet on July 7th: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1942003079521472760?t=YJokt_ZWgM2eYN-_2f6K3A&s=19

@MugaSofer great I’ll tentatively set Jan. 7th as the possible end date unless he mentions it again or a later one is found

bought Ṁ30 YES

@KyleY Has there been any mention since July? I don't see one, so maybe this can resolve?

bought Ṁ80 YES

@KyleY I can't find any either. Resolve please.

@KyleY @mods
Has had 6 months and 1 year since last mention July 7th 2025 as detailed above.
Creator seems inactive has not responded to requests for resolution 4 and 6 months ago

grok
Any public mention of America party by Musk since 7 July 2025?

Thought for 50s

No. There are no public mentions by Elon Musk of the “America Party” (or close variants like “AmericaParty”) since July 7, 2025.