Will Scott Alexander be active on Tumblr just before EoY 2023?
19
128
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resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if he makes any post there within 2 weeks of the new year

Close date updated to 2023-12-15 7:14 pm

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predicted YES

last active sep 17

None yet, and with newborns, I’d put the odds at under 1%.

Does he have a Tumblr account? If so, could someone please link it?

predicted NO

curious why it's so high, he has barely posted in 2023

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