
Will qualified immunity be substantially repealed before 2040?
12
1kṀ4272040
38%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolve yes if qualified immunity is overturned, or modified such that the merits of the Constitutional violation must be analyzed and ruled upon before qualified immunity can dismiss a case.
May resolve to a probability determined by me if qualified immunity has been modified such that many of the commonly cited problems are dealt with, but is not overturned as a Doctrine.
May resolve to n/a if something unpredictable happens, such as if it is replaced by a doctrine that is substantially similar, but has a different working mechanism
Otherwise resolves to no
Close date updated to 2039-12-31 11:59 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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