Which existing amendment to the Constitution of the United States will be repealed by EOY 2044 ?

Basic

Ṁ608

2045

34%

20th (Changes dates on which terms of president and VP, and of members of Congress, begin and end, to January 20 and January 3 respectively. States that if president-elect dies before taking office, VP–elect is to be inaugurated president)

34%

21st (Repeals the 18th Amendment and makes it a federal offense to transport or import intoxicating liquors into U.S. states and territories where such is prohibited by law.)

34%

22nd (Limits the number of times a person can be elected president.)

34%

23rd (Grants the District of Columbia electors in the Electoral College.)

34%

25th (Addresses succession to the presidency and establishes procedures both for filling a vacancy in the office of the vice president and responding to presidential disabilities.)

34%

27th (Delays laws affecting Congressional salary from taking effect until after the next election of representatives.)

24%

13th (Abolishes slavery and involuntary servitude, except as punishment for a crime.)

24%

15th (Prohibits the denial of the right to vote based on race, color or previous condition of servitude.)

24%

4th (Prohibits unreasonable searches and seizures and sets out requirements for search warrants based on probable cause.)

24%

7th (Provides for the right to a jury trial in civil lawsuits.)

24%

8th (Prohibits excessive fines and excessive bail, as well as cruel and unusual punishment.)

24%

9th (States that rights not enumerated in the Constitution are retained by the people.)

24%

10th (States that the federal government possesses only those powers delegated, or enumerated, to it through the Constitution, and that all other powers are reserved to the States, or to the people.)

24%

11th (Makes states immune from suits from out-of-state citizens and foreigners not living within the state borders; lays the foundation for state sovereign immunity.)

24%

14th (Defines citizenship, contains the Privileges or Immunities Clause, the Due Process Clause, and the Equal Protection Clause, and deals with post–Civil War issues.)

24%

16th (Permits Congress to levy an income tax without apportioning it among the various states or basing it on the United States Census.)

24%

17th (Establishes the direct election of United States senators by popular vote.)

24%

19th (Prohibits the denial of the right to vote based on sex.)

24%

26th (Prohibits the denial of the right of US citizens 18 years of age or older, to vote on account of age.)

18%

2nd (Protects the right to keep and bear arms.)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_amendments_to_the_Constitution_of_the_United_States

Each option resolves YES if the corresponding amendment is repelled by EOY 2044, NO otherwise.

I will add options for all amendments if the market meets enough success.

Feel free to ask for clarification and edge cases.

If the United States of America continues to exist as a country but stops having a constitution at all by EOY 2044, all options shall resolve YES.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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@traders just added all 27 amendments !

"Changes the dates on which the terms of the president and vice president, and of members of Congress, begin and end, to January 20 and January 3 respectively. States that if the president-elect dies before taking office, the vice president–elect is to be inaugurated as president."

Suppressed all occurences of "the" and of "as" and replaced all occurences of "vice-president" to VP due to character limit

"4rd" 👀

@TheAllMemeingEye woops ! I'll let it this way a few hours in case you want to take screenshots and make memes out of it before I correct 😂.

Why repeal when you can reinterpret anything va courts

@admissions I feel like a market on which amendments will get reinterpreted via courts would just create more shenanigans than a conversation on a Thanksgiving dinner, only to finally het N/A’d

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