Will qualified immunity be substantially repealed before 2040?
38%
chance

Resolve yes if qualified immunity is overturned, or modified such that the merits of the Constitutional violation must be analyzed and ruled upon before qualified immunity can dismiss a case.

May resolve to a probability determined by me if qualified immunity has been modified such that many of the commonly cited problems are dealt with, but is not overturned as a Doctrine.

May resolve to n/a if something unpredictable happens, such as if it is replaced by a doctrine that is substantially similar, but has a different working mechanism

Otherwise resolves to no

Close date updated to 2039-12-31 11:59 pm

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy