I will live in the United States in 2030
1
70Ṁ582030
82%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
My fiance and I have discussed several times what happens if the political situation for trans people gets worse. Among our options is to leave the country, which we have some warmth toward anyways.
It's less of a hassle for me since I am a tech worker, and bakers can get jobs in most places, so we aren't terribly worried on that front. That said, it's fucking difficult, and the pressure to not emigrate is huge
This market as almost certainly higher than
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
I will live outside the United States in 2030
25% chance
Will I live and work in the US before 2030?
49% chance
Which countries will the United States invade by the end of 2030?
What city will I live in at the beginning of 2030?
How many states will the United States have in 2030
Trump will be US President in 2030
10% chance
Will the US be a democracy in 2035?
88% chance
Will the United States of America consist of 50 states by 2030?
74% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2030?
96% chance
Will any US places successfully change states by 2030?
14% chance