Will any US places successfully change states by 2030?
16
1kṀ4672030
14%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if any counties/municipalities successfully secede from one state and join another state, presumably by getting permission from both state legislatures and Congress.
Close date updated to 2029-12-31 9:15 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will any US state change its name by the end of 2030?
6% chance
Will there be multiple new US states by the end of 2030?
10% chance
Will the US admit a new state by 2030?
18% chance
Will a US state attempt to leave the union by 2030?
9% chance
Will the United States of America consist of 50 states by 2030?
74% chance
Will any US state secede before 2030?
9% chance
Will there be a new US State by 2055?
51% chance
Will a state declare independence from the USA by 2030?
10% chance
Will the United States have a number of states other than 50 before 2030?
11% chance
Will there be a state introduced or removed from the union by 2030?
16% chance
Sort by:
Has this ever happened before?
Would a territorial dispute between states settled by court decision count? From your description, I think no. This has happened several times historically, e.g. see https://www.encyclopedia.com/history/dictionaries-thesauruses-pictures-and-press-releases/boundary-disputes-between-states
@jack I would count it. However, _New Jersey v. New York_ was decided in 1998; the only realistic border-changing potential court case I can imagine is the Georgia-Tennessee border, but that is unlikely.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will any US state change its name by the end of 2030?
6% chance
Will there be multiple new US states by the end of 2030?
10% chance
Will the US admit a new state by 2030?
18% chance
Will a US state attempt to leave the union by 2030?
9% chance
Will the United States of America consist of 50 states by 2030?
74% chance
Will any US state secede before 2030?
9% chance
Will there be a new US State by 2055?
51% chance
Will a state declare independence from the USA by 2030?
10% chance
Will the United States have a number of states other than 50 before 2030?
11% chance
Will there be a state introduced or removed from the union by 2030?
16% chance