Conditional on Tumblr implementing support for following from ActivityPub, will they inject ads into the feed by EoY 2025?
Basic
8
Ṁ2132025
33%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Tumblr recently indicated they will be implementing ActivityPub support. It is unclear what timeline or subset of features
Therefore this is part of a series of markets
This market resolves to N/A if I am not able to, without going through a 3rd party bridge, follow a Tumblr account from my Mastodon account. It otherwise resolves YES if even a single ad is intentionally injected, and NO if not
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Tumblr support following from ActivityPub accounts by EoY 2025
19% chance
Will Tumblr support following external ActivityPub accounts by EoY 2025
20% chance
Will Threads roll out ActivityPub Support by end of 2024
59% chance
Will Substack launch an ad network in 2024?
41% chance
What percentage of Twitter ads served to me will be porn-adjacent in December 2024?
Will Manifold implement ActivityPub by the end of 2024?
13% chance
Will Tumblr still exist by end of 2027?
71% chance
Will tumblr re-tighten its restrictions on porn in 2024?
12% chance
Will tumblr shut down by the end of 2027?
30% chance
Will Tumblr still exist by end of 2024?
97% chance