Which OpenAI plans will have advertisements by EOY 2026?
3
125Ṁ89
2026
50%
Free
34%
Plus
34%
Business
15%
Enterprise
15%
Pro

This market resolves YES for a specific plan if OpenAI introduces third-party commercial advertisements to that plan's interface between now and Dec 31, 2026.

Resolution Criteria:

  • Definition of Ads: Only third-party paid placements count. Internal OpenAI promotions (e.g., "Upgrade to Plus," "Try our API") do NOT count.

  • Search Results: Sponsored citations or links within search results DO count as advertisements if they are paid placements.

  • Testing: Small-scale A/B testing does not trigger a YES. The ads must be officially announced or widely visible to a significant portion of users (general availability).

  • Plan Names: If plans are renamed, this resolves based on the functional equivalent (e.g., "Pro" resolves based on the $200/mo tier).

  • Timing: Resolution is triggered immediately upon verified implementation, even if the ads are later removed.

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