Conditional on Trump doing the following things, will Trump be impeached in the House and convicted by the Senate?
11
2.2kṀ630Feb 28
66%
Orders the assassination of a judge
63%
Orders the assassination of a legislator
63%
Orders nuclear strike on domestic soil
60%
Declares himself President-for-life
59%
Attempts to dissolve Congress
59%
Refuses to leave office after term ends
59%
Attempts to abolish the Supreme Court
56%
Suspends the Constitution
53%
Suspends all elections indefinitely
52%
Declares martial law nationwide
50%
Starts a war with Canada
50%
Orders military to ignore Congress
50%
Orders military to seize voting machines
50%
Orders military invasion of Mexico
48%
Starts civil war/presides over the start of a civil war
45%
Orders military to arrest political opponents
41%
Nukes foreign soil
41%
Pardons himself for federal crimes
37%
Starts a war for Greenland
34%
Starts a war for Panama
In the event of ambiguity, I will be the arbiter. Questions resolve N/A if the event doesn’t occur. A resignation preceding an imminent conviction counts as YES for the purposes of the question.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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