Will I believe in 1 year that DeepSeek R1 was substantially trained via distillation of a US model?
7
100Ṁ1482026
64%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
When will DeepSeek release V4?
Will OpenAI’s claims that DeepSeek is a distillation of their models become the consensus view?
16% chance
will DeepSeek become a closed AI lab by EOY?
25% chance
When will DeepSeek release R2?
Will DeepSeek's next reasoning model be open-sourced?
83% chance
"Holy shit!" -> my reaction to deepseek r1. Will I feel the same about any AI developments in the next 5 months?
54% chance
When will Deepseek R2 be released?
10/22/25
Did DeepSeek violate OpenAI's terms of service by using OpenAI model outputs for distillation in 2024 or January 2025?
9% chance
Will DeepSeek R2 be open source?
83% chance
Will DeepSeek be banned in US before 2027?
28% chance