will deepseek-v4 destroy all other models?
23
1kṀ2199Dec 20
14%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if DeepSeek V4 tops the lmarena.ai leaderboard when it first enters the leaderboard. \\
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
When will Deepseek V4 be released?
12/14/25
When will DeepSeek release V4?
Will DeepSeek R2 be open source?
79% chance
Will ANY DeepSeek model cause or materially enable a catastrophic risk by 2027?
7% chance
When will DeepSeek release R2?
Will DeepSeek's next reasoning model be open-sourced?
81% chance
Did DeepSeek receive unannounced assistance from OpenAI in the creation of their v3 model?
8% chance
Will OpenAI’s claims that DeepSeek is a distillation of their models become the consensus view?
17% chance
Will there be an open replication of DeepSeek v3 for <$10m?
41% chance
will DeepSeek become a closed AI lab by EOY?
17% chance