will DeepSeek become a closed AI lab by EOY?
32
Ṁ1kṀ5.5kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
resolves YES if they release a major non-free (as in freedom) model
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ239 | |
| 2 | Ṁ199 | |
| 3 | Ṁ129 | |
| 4 | Ṁ95 | |
| 5 | Ṁ80 |
Sort by:
https://www.chinatalk.media/p/deepseek-ceo-interview-with-chinas
Waves: DeepSeek, right now, has a kind of idealistic aura reminiscent of the early days of OpenAI, and it’s open source. Will you change to closed source later on? Both OpenAI and Mistral moved from open-source to closed-source.
Liang Wenfeng: We will not change to closed source. We believe having a strong technical ecosystem first is more important.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026?
24% chance
Will a major AI lab enter the aerospace industry by EOY 2026?
82% chance
Will OpenAI fold by EOY 2026?
4% chance
Any leading Chinese AI lab (e.g. Deepseek, Moonshot, Zhipu) nationalized by EOY 2027?
55% chance
By EOY 2026, will it seem as if deep learning hit a wall by EOY 2025?
7% chance
OpenAI has AI CEO by EOY 2026?
4% chance
Will any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027?
15% chance
Will DeepSeek be banned in US before 2027?
16% chance
Any American frontier AI lab (e.g. OpenAI, Anthropic) nationalized by EOY 2027?
34% chance
Will OpenAI Fail by EOY 2028?
12% chance