Will Starship flight 12 happen before New Glenn flight 3?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ60Apr 30
35%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
First to leave the ground under its own power.
At time of market creation, both are likely to launch in March 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
When will Starship flight 12 happen?
When will Starship flight 12 happen?
4/16/26
When will Starship flight 13 happen?
What will happen successfully during Starship flight 12?
Will Artemis II fly before Starship Flight 12?
82% chance
By when will New Glenn flight 3 launch?
Will New Glenn 3 fly on a reused first stage?
94% chance
Will there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight?
3% chance
Which happens first? Starliner-2, Psyche arrival, Artemis III, or New Glenn 15?
Will New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)
72% chance