This market resolves to "YES" if Elon Musk reneges on his offer to buy twitter. It resolves to "NO" if his offer to buy twitter closes. If the terms are renegotiated and he winds up buying it, it sill counts as "NO" because he did buy it. #Economics #Twitter #Politics #ElonMusk #Technology Jul 12, 12:31am: Clarification that I had in the comments, posting up here for greater visibility: > I will say that if he formally reneges on the deal, and it's very clear he has every intent to back out, and the only thing forcing him to go through is a court holding a gun to his head, then sure, this resolves as yes.

Sep 29, 2:01am: Will Elon Musk back out of the deal to buy Twitter? → Will Elon Musk back out of the deal to buy Twitter (successfully or not?)