21
38
Ṁ2.4KṀ282
2028
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if Twitter is no longer in business for any reason.
Resolves as YES if Twitter has been renamed and legacy users and tweets have been purged.
Resolves as NO if Twitter has been renamed but retains users and/or tweets.
Resolves as NO if Twitter is still in business.
Resolves as N/A if Musk's purchase of Twitter does not close.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
Thought process that lead to this question:
1. Twitter is arguably a net negative influence on modern civilization.
2. Musk's decision to purchase Twitter appears to be based on the belief that this can be corrected.
3. Musk seems willing to spend his energy and money on projects that he believes benefit society.
4.. Musk may reach the conclusion that the issues are not correctable and he would rather write off the loss.
I'm not convinced this will happen but the probability is not zero either.
Related questions
Will Elon Musk sell twitter by the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will Elon Musk sell twitter by the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will Elon Musk still own a social media company at the end of 2025?
81% chance
Will Elon Musk's Twitter account be hacked by the end of 2024?
18% chance
Will Elon Musk believe and state publicly that buying twitter was a mistake, by the end of 2025?
23% chance
Conditional on Twitter/X still existing, will Elon Musk be in control of it at EOY 2026?
80% chance
Will Elon Musk attempt to sell Twitter before 2025?
8% chance
Will Elon Musk quit Twitter by the end of 2024?
9% chance
Will Elon Musk Still be the CEO of Twitter by the end of 2024?
4% chance