Republicans will win the 2022 Texas Governor's race

43

Ṁ741Ṁ5.9k

resolved Nov 9

Resolved

YES

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market will resolve to "YES" if the Republican nominee for governor of Texas wins the election in November 2022. #Texas #Politics

Market context

US 2022 Midterms

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Calling it:
https://mail.google.com/mail/u/0/#inbox/FMfcgzGqRQJlVfZXVdNNxwNlmWRlZVKk

@LarsDoucet Whoops wrong link:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/08/us/elections/results-texas-governor.html?campaign_id=190&emc=edit_ufn_20221109&instance_id=76994&nl=from-the-times&regi_id=149283925&segment_id=112554&te=1&user_id=87b66ea78d6c6a3d855cffdffbf72ab7#G

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/governor/

Arbitrage: https://manifold.markets/MattP/will-beto-orourke-be-the-governor-o

Interesting disparity between this market and PredictIt. (I suspect PredictIt is being less accurate here, but the true probability is probably somewhere in between.) https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7566/Who-will-win-the-2022-Texas-gubernatorial-election

#Politics #Texas #Elections

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