What Would Aella Believe?

325Ṁ839

2100

95%

My audience ought add controversial propositions that they can pay me to define a confidence for.

95%

This mechanism would be great if it also had a function that weights market demand.

89%

We ought incentivize each other to produce krantz data.

77%

We ought create krantz data.

72%

I ought talk to @krantz.

72%

I like being controlled with questions.

72%

I want my audience to control me by forcing me to define a confidence for propositions that they then site in arguments to embarrass me publicly and shame me into updating my priors.

70%

Reading about krantz is getting my rationalussy soaking wet.

66%

If we don’t have a safeword you don’t get to call me sweetheart.

50%

My secret porn folder is filled with classified intelligence.

50%

I don't like showers because I'm actually an android.

Same concept as this market:

https://manifold.markets/Krantz/what-would-jesus-believe?r=S3JhbnR6

Just using your cult leader instead so you're more comfortable.

I've also got one for Robin Hanson if that's more your speed.

Aella

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Who will @Aella marry?

Will Aella die of natural causes?

67% chance

What will be true about the person @Aella will marry?

Will Aella have a child by 2030?

71% chance

Will Aella convert to sexually conservative Christianity by the end of [year]?

Will Aella be on Surrounded?

32% chance

Will @aella revert to Christianity within 5 years?

2% chance

Will Aella carry a pregnancy to term before she turns 45?

69% chance

Aella gets engaged to a polyamorous partner who wants kids and has higher income/wealth?

20% chance

The "I want to date Aella" stock

Sort by:

Unfollowed and reported, this is basically harassment at this point, you're damaging the reputation of the site and driving away influential people

@TheAllMemeingEye Can you explain how it's harassment?

To my knowledge, she has no idea I'm trying to reach her.

Doesn't there have to be some indication that a behavior is not desired for "harassment" to occur?

By the alleged victim (not their fanclub).

At this point, I think I'd just call it ineffective marketing.

She should be aware that I'll remove anything she requests.

I'm not a dick.

I'd just like to know if she's aware I'm trying to reach her.

@TheAllMemeingEye Agreeing with The All Memeing Eye. @mods

@Krantz it's also kinda just a nonsensical market? like I have no idea what you're trying to do here or what half of these answers mean other than that you're trying to drag a public figure into it. like are you proposing you'll attempt to get Aella to do a legit interview and the incoherent things here are the questions? like wtf is krantz data?

@Krantz To be clear. This would follow the below proposition in the recommendation algorithm.

"I want my audience to control me by forcing me to define a confidence for propositions that they then site in arguments to embarrass me publicly and shame me into updating my priors."