This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will I (Aella) convert to Christianity by the end of 2028?
3% chance
Will Aella convert to sexually conservative Christianity by the end of [year]?
Will Ayaan Hirsi Ali recant from Christianity before 2026?
13% chance
Will Aella have a child by 2030?
73% chance
Will Aella be arrested before the end of 2025?
4% chance
Will Scott Alexander convert to Christianity before 2030?
4% chance
Will Aella carry a pregnancy to term before she turns 45?
51% chance
Aella switches to a private life through 2030
33% chance
Will Ivanka Trump convert to any religion other than Judaism by 2030?
16% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky and Aella start dating during the next 3yrs?
8% chance