What will be the next country attacked by Russia after Ukraine?
Basic
17
แน€345
2029
26%
Moldova
20%
Other
20%
Georgia
13%
Belarus
9%
Kazakhstan
6%
Estonia
2%
Azerbaijan

If a new country is not attacked by the start of 2030 resolves to NA.

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Escalating violence between Russian soldiers already present in Georgian, Moldovan, Armenian and Azerbaijani territory and the local population or border patrols, seems far more likely than another large scale war with another previously unaffected sovereign country like Kazakhstan or Estonia.

@JoelHancock If such an event does not bring any consequence (sending more troops for example), i won't count it as an attack.

There must be an order given. If a conflict is risen by ordinary soldiers and their recklessness, this will not count.

@JoelHancock but an airstrike is an obvious attack, it cannot be caused by "tension between soldiers and population" and would be a definitive yes case.

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