https://archive.is/BkISd

Resolves YES if any of the following occur:

• Russian or Belarussian soldiers cross into Polish territory without explicit Polish permission

• Critical Polish infrastructure is targeted in a kinetic attack with Russian or Belarussian missiles or drones

• A "simulated air strike" from Russia or Belarus in which Poland activates its air defenses

Resolves based on a consensus of credible reporting.

"Plausibly deniable" events count, e.g. soldiers crossing the border due to a "GPS error" would still qualify.

Incomplete or thwarted attacks count, e.g. a missile attack which is shot down and which credible sources assess was targeting critical infrastructure in Poland, would still qualify.