US state/federal regulatory apparatus takes another action against Polymarket before January 1, 2026
Plus
1
Ṁ502026
48%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Any of the SEC, CFTC, FTC, any state Attorney General, announces either a lawsuit against Polymarket, or fines Polymarket, or announces a settlement with Polymarket, or bans US customers - anything where Polymarket must respond to a court case, or has its operations constrained in some way.
I am aware the CFTC entered a judgment against Polymarket in 2022, but it appears that they are still accepting money from US customers to bet on US elections.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Polymarket become legal and regulated in the US in 2025?
46% chance
Will legal action be taken against Manifold Markets by any governmental entity in 2024?
12% chance
When will the CFTC take action against Polymarket?
Will Polymarket get investigated by the CFTC again before 2027?
56% chance
Outcome(s) of the DOJ investigation of Polymarket by the end of January
Polymarket acquired by the end of 2025?
43% chance
Will US regulators instruct Manifold to alter or cease activity before the end of 2024?
19% chance
Will Polymarket take more steps to verify that US citizens are not trading on their website before January 1, 2026?
52% chance
Will Polymarket take more steps to verify that US citizens are not trading on their website before July 1, 2025?
52% chance
Manifold.markets will be investigated by the FTC or SEC before EOY 2030
41% chance