MANIFOLD
When will the CFTC take action against Polymarket?
12
Ṁ1kṀ1.5k
2030
5%
2025
21%
2026
13%
2027
12%
2028
17%
2029
17%
Not by end of 2029/never

This must be of such importance as: a fine, a lawsuit, and open to other suggestions.

Market context
Crypto
Legal Decisions
Polymarket
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fines solely , during only 2026: https://manifold.markets/nowayitsfree/will-polymarketcom-be-fined-by-us-g

I'm a little confused by this. The CFTC took action against Polymarket in January of 2022.

@Domer you never know when the empire will strike back

@Domer resolves yes for all the options (not the last)

Should the probabilities sum to 1 if this market is efficiently priced?

@NoaNabeshima This isn't just a 'next' take action, they could take action against polymarket multiple times

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