Resolution Criteria

The market resolves YES when I can access Polymarket's U.S. platform beyond the current invite-only waitlist and begin trading without restrictions. Resolution requires: (1) completing KYC verification and using approved brokers rather than direct crypto wallet access, and (2) ability to trade on markets in my state without legal blocks. Check Polymarket's official website (polymarket.com) and your state's regulatory status for confirmation. Polymarket is not fully available in all 50 states, with ongoing legal pushback in states like Tennessee and Nevada.

Background

Polymarket acquired QCEX in July 2025 and the CFTC formally granted the company permission to re-enter the U.S. in September after a three-year ban for operating without proper registration. Polymarket officially relaunched its U.S. version in December 2025 as a compliant, CFTC-regulated platform and has been rolling out access via a waitlist. A company representative stated it was "continuing to roll users off the waitlist," but did not provide a timeline for a full launch.

Considerations

While the CFTC treats prediction markets as financial derivatives (legal nationwide), many state regulators argue that event contracts look like sports betting or gambling, requiring state-issued licenses. Tennessee issued cease-and-desist letters (temporarily blocked by a federal judge), and Nevada filed a lawsuit seeking to block sports-event contracts. Full U.S. access depends on both completing the waitlist rollout and resolving state-level legal disputes.

This description was generated by AI.