Will CNSA's Chang'e-6 successfully return samples from the far side of the Moon within the planned 53 days?
Will CNSA's Chang'e-6 successfully return samples from the far side of the Moon within the planned 53 days?
10
100Ṁ963resolved Jun 27
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://www.cnsa.gov.cn/english/n6465652/n6465653/c10523137/content.html
Return means to Earth in a state that can be used for science.
Chang'e-5 brought back approximately 1,731 grams of lunar samples which included regolith (soil) and basaltic rocks.
Launch was May 3, 2024 at 09:27 UTC
Resolves Yes if Chang'e-6 successfully returns any amount of samples within the planned 53 days.
Resolves No if Chang'e-6 is unable to return any samples or samples returned aren't usable for science or samples are returned on day 54 or after
This market closes on June 25th
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In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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