Resolves primarily upon reported assessments by ODIHIR, secondarily those of Carter Center, and if neither becomes available in a timely manner, my good faith effort at evaluating wider international consensus, which if those bodies do not make a clear statement, may be a percentage resolution. I will not trade in this market.

Update: I will extend the market to cover the latter stage of the election, with the proviso, that if the monitoring organizations mentioned above judge the first stage to not be free and fair, that is sufficient for a NO resolution.