Will there be a global recession declared by the IMF before December 31, 2025?
11
1.3k
Jun 18
23%
chance

A global recession is characterized by a significant decline in economic activity across the world, lasting more than a few months. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) monitors global economic conditions and provides assessments. Previous global recessions include the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic-induced recession.

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@JunHongebby this market is set to close in a week, please fix

bought Ṁ50 NO

Bizarre this is so high... global recessions are precipitated by things like pandemics, world, wars, and once-in-a-century financial disasters (the great recession was the worst downturn since the Great Depression). Baseline odds should be that this happens once per ~25 years, which would put the fair price for this market below 10%.