
Will there be a global recession declared by the IMF before December 31, 2025?
22
1kṀ34752026
23%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A global recession is characterized by a significant decline in economic activity across the world, lasting more than a few months. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) monitors global economic conditions and provides assessments. Previous global recessions include the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic-induced recession.
Details:
Historical Context: Previous recessions and their triggers, such as financial crises, pandemics, and geopolitical events.
Factors to Consider: Economic indicators (GDP growth, unemployment rates), monetary policies, and global trade conditions.
Data Sources: IMF reports, World Bank data, and economic analysis from major financial institutions.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be a worldwide recession before 2029?
45% chance
Will there be a recession in the U.S. in 2025?
21% chance
US Recession in 2025?
19% chance
Will the NBER Announce the US is in recession during 2025 by the end of 2025?
27% chance
United States Recession by End of Q4 2025?
16% chance
Will there be a US recession by EOY2025?
16% chance
Did the US enter a recession before the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will the world experience a recession in 2025?
19% chance
Will the US enter a recession by end of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
24% chance
Will the NBER Announce the US is in recession during 2025 by Q2 2026?
23% chance