Trump approval rating 45% or higher on Fourth of July?

154

1kṀ35k

resolved Jul 4

Resolved

NO

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6H

1D

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ALL

Market will resolve to YES if 45.0% or higher of Americans approve of Donald Trump's performance dated July 4th, 2025 on Nate Silver's approval tracker located here at Silver Bulletin: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin

Notes:

Data will be checked within 24 hours after market close.
If the approval dips below 45.0% at some point, but rises back above by July 4th, the market will still resolve to YES.
In the event that the Silver Bulletin tracker is no longer available or updated, the RCP tracker here will be used as a substitute: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating

Trump's Second Term

Republican Party

2024 US Presidential Election

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sold Ṁ517 NO

-

44.9% with 4 hours to go. Down to the wire. This is wild

filled a Ṁ200 NO at 1.0% order

today's approval, 44.85. the headline number on the post (very confusingly) hasn't been updated since the 1st

bought Ṁ500 NO

bought Ṁ2,750 YES

Given the update at 45.2 today, I don’t really see why this should be less than 50%

Well now I’m confused because the write up says 45.2 but the graph says 44.9

oh I see the write up was last updated 7/1

bought Ṁ5 YES

Will be interesting to see what it reads tomorrow

Lmao every time I make one of these it really does come down to the absolute wire

@Jubs make more!

bought Ṁ2,250 NO

It’s 44.9% going into the long weekend

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If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?

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Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends?

Will Trump set a new record low approval rating this year? [Below 34.0% on Silver Bulletin]

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If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?

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