Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Trump's Republican approval below 80%?
41
Ṁ1.5kṀ3.5k
2029
58%
chance

Resolves YES if, at any point between May 12, 2025, and January 20, 2029 President Donald Trump's approval rating among Republicans falls below 80% according to Gallup, which polls weekly and publishes the results under Donald Trump's Second-Term Job Approval by Party Identification.

Trump’s approval rating among Republicans has been over 90% for his entire second term. The last time it dropped below 80% in his first term was December 2017.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

It appears the link with polls stopped updating after Dec 2025. (and seems to have updated the relevant section monthly)

bought Ṁ50 NO

Republicans are in a cult so seems unlikely