Trump's Republican approval below 80%?
38
Ṁ1.5kṀ3.4k2029
57%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if, at any point between May 12, 2025, and January 20, 2029 President Donald Trump's approval rating among Republicans falls below 80% according to Gallup, which polls weekly and publishes the results under Donald Trump's Second-Term Job Approval by Party Identification.
Trump’s approval rating among Republicans has been over 90% for his entire second term. The last time it dropped below 80% in his first term was December 2017.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Trump's approval rating increases by end of January 2026?
47% chance
Will Donald Trump‘s approval drop below 40% before US midterm election
71% chance
Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 70% before his death?
48% chance
When will President Trump's approval rating go below 38%?
Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
17% chance
Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 60% before his death?
36% chance
Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 40% before his death?
22% chance
Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends?
12% chance
Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 50% before his death?
24% chance
Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 30% before his death?
21% chance