What happens if Trump wins 2024 elections? [unlinked, add your answers]
Basic
35
αΉ40802030
99%
He won 300+ electoral votes
95%
The U.S.'s democracy index, as measured by the Economist Intelligence Unit, goes down by at least .1 from 2024 to 2028.
95%
He also wins the popular vote.
88%
He serves the full term
88%
Trump pardons himself (regardless of whether the self-pardon is overruled by court decision)
86%
Trump serves full second term
82%
Democrats win the House majority in 2026.
72%
Inflation is higher when he leaves office than when he takes office
56%
He gets impeached again.
46%
Democrats win Senate majority in 2026
43%
Ukraine war reaches a ceasefire that is observed for 1 year
41%
The S&P 500 will be above 5000 at the end of 2024
36%
His VP becomes the Republican presidential nominee in 2028.
33%
Does not relinquish power at end of term, if still living
29%
he has a fatal or near-fatal health issue while in office
19%
A national abortion ban is passed during his term.
15%
The U.S. has a higher World Press Freedom Index in 2028 than 2024.
1.6%
Biden runs for president again in 2028
1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is President on January 21, 2029
1%
Trump is President on January 21, 2029
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Does not relinquish power at end of term, if still living
Related questions
Related questions
What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
Which of the following will happen in the 2024 Presidential election? [ADD YOUR OWN ANSWERS (**see note**)]
Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
23% chance
π«π What will happen depending on if Dems/Trump win the 2024 election? [ADD RESPONSES]
If Trump wins in 2024, how will it affect the transition of power after 2028 election?
How will $DJT move if Trump wins/loses?
πΊπΈποΈ What will happen in Washington, DC in 2024? [ADD ANSWERS]
What will be true of Donald Trump in 2024?
Open answer: How many electoral votes will Trump* win in 2024?
Add answers: What will be the first digit of the number of electoral votes that Trump* will win in 2024?