
Rules (work in progress)
If Trump wins, all the 'If Biden Wins' options will be NAed, and visa versa
If Trump wins, all the 'Biden will win' options will be resolved NO, and visa versaIf Trump or Biden die, their options will be NAed or changed to 'if Dems win' / 'if Reps win' depending on my judgement
People are also trading
@ChristopherRandles Good point. I don't think so, as deportation is legally considered a formal process to expel someone. With self-deportation (voluntarily leaving), there is no formal deportation order or guarantee that the state would actually be able to obtain such an order.
@solarflare
https://x.com/JDVance/status/2011427960775909717
"This argument is just entirely fake, for two reasons. 1) In the Obama administration, they counted being turned away at the border as a deportation. A person would show up, be sent back, and counted as a deportation. We have to do deportations from the interior of the country because Biden and Harris let them walk in."
I have no idea if that is an accurate indication of a change in the way deportations are counted
@strutheo The NDAA (passed in December) is providing $800 million to Ukraine through the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative. I believe this should count.
@strutheo How many are needed for it to count as "mass"?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deportation_in_the_second_Trump_administration#Deportation
Deportation
37,660 people were deported in Trump's first month in office, including both removals and returns, far less than the monthly average of 57,000 deportations under Biden in 2024.[161] One of the factors cited to explain the decrease of deportations is a drop in border crossings.[162] An October 27, 2025 DHS press release said that more than 2 million people had been removed from the country, with 527,000 being deported while 1.6 million "voluntarily self-deported"[163][164]
@Weezing when they win the election - so if trump wins, all the IF BIDEN/DEMS WIN questions will resolve NA
@ClubmasterTransparent whats something more fun. like trump reducing funding to nato? can he do that or is it congress
@strutheo I think itβs plenty fun the way it is. I suppose it could be βattempt to leave NATOβ. For all we know he might think all he has to do is say three times βI divorce you.β
@NathanScott hm good question , i meant by the time he leaves office for most of these, ill add text