Resolves YES if Trump wins the 2024 election and, at any point on January 21, 2029, Donald Trump is the president of the United States.
Resolves N/A if Trump doesn't win the 2024 election.
Resolves NO otherwise.
1,000
3.00@PatrickLV What led to the misinterpretation? I can clarify the wording if necessary.
Also, it seems like no one else interacted with the market between you buying and selling. Was the "big loss" just the fees or is there something obvious I'm missing?
@NBAP My big loss was just the fees (and a significant remaining position that may be fine at the current price but which I can't liquidate). A more idiot-proof title would be "If Donald Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, will he still be President on the day after the 2029 inauguration (i.e. January 21st, 2029)"?
I confused a "will Trump overthrow democracy" market with a "will Trump make it through a full term" market (which would have had the same title as this, except with January 20th rather than January 21st).