Will SpaceX successfully catch a booster within the first ten Starship flights?
34
Ṁ1kṀ13kresolved Oct 14
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A catch here will be defined as the booster sitting on the chopsticks after the landing.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ513 | |
| 2 | Ṁ55 | |
| 3 | Ṁ43 | |
| 4 | Ṁ39 | |
| 5 | Ṁ31 |
People are also trading
Related questions
By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship?
By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster?
Will Starship’s upper stage be caught successfully on SpaceX’s first attempt?
53% chance
Will SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027?
1% chance
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time?
Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?
8% chance
When will a Starship booster first relaunch in under 24hrs?
In what year will SpaceX first launch Starship more times than Falcon 9?
Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?