Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2027?
8
Ṁ90Ṁ602027
47%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If there is a lack of clarity about what occurred I will make a good faith attempt to determine it, using all available sources.
I will not bet in this market.
Definitions of PLA aircraft and other nation's militaries will be expansive rather than narrow.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2028?
47% chance
Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2031?
51% chance
Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2035?
50% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?
20% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?
20% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2029?
45% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2032?
83% chance
China-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026
7% chance
[Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
11% chance
Will a NATO aircraft shoot down a missile or drone fired towards a target in Ukraine before 2027?
32% chance