Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028? | Manifold

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?

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6

Ṁ154

2027

20%

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1M

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American Armed Forces: US Army, US Navy, US Air Force, US Marine Corps, US Coast Guard, US Space Force

Chinese Armed Forces: People's Liberation Army Ground Force, People's Liberation Army Navy, People's Liberation Army Air Force, People's Liberation Army Rocket Force, People's Liberation Army Strategic Support Force, People's Armed Police (including China Coast Guard), Militia of China (including the Maritime Militia)

Resolves YES if it is clear that one side has directly caused a fatality in the other

Please note that a member of one side's armed forces causing a 'civilian' (ie not a member of forces listed here) fatality will not result in a YES resolution by itself

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